Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:28:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3ae0…748a
crypto · 65 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$960 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$955 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$125
Realized−$955
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses35 / 157
Open positions2
Markets (closed)192 / 65
History coverage1d
Avg bet$132
Trades / day3437.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$955
7 days−$955
14 days−$955
30 days−$955
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 75¢ 84¢ $71 $79 +$8 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 64¢ 72¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 21¢ 16¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 35¢ 28¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +116%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-56.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 -52.1% -56.7% 18% 7% -18.8%
≤30d 192 -52.1% -56.7% 18% 7% -18.8%
≤90d 192 -52.1% -56.7% 18% 7% -18.8%
all 192 -52.1% -56.7% 18% 7% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3437.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.7% 7% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -60.8% 5% -26.6%
15% -64.6% 5% -33.6%
20% -68.1% 4% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $125.20 · official $123.84 · 3500 history records