Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3aea…f79e
sports · 63 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses28 / 31
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions4
Markets (closed)59 / 63
History coverage6d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 26¢ 47¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+81%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 23¢ 2¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-94%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 38¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$6 +63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$5 -64%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$9 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$2 -28%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$5 -33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$5 +259%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$5 +103%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +65%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$5 +101%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$4 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$8 +100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 +$2 +7%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $8 +$2 +31%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$7 +50%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $12 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $4 +$3 +74%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$3 +63%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$1 +16%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -88%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $4 +$1 +41%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$3 +23%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7 +$2 +28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$8 -59%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 26¢ $5 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 15¢ $5 34m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 39¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 60¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 8¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 62¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 31¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 3¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 99¢ $12 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 6¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 42¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 64¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 33¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 7¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 99¢ $24 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $5 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 99¢ $7 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 3¢ $2 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 66¢ $5 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $14 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 51¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 79¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 13¢ $7 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -24.1% -31.3% 47% 42% -15.3%
≤30d 59 -24.1% -31.3% 47% 42% -15.3%
≤90d 59 -24.1% -31.3% 47% 42% -15.3%
all 59 -24.1% -31.3% 47% 42% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.3% 42% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -37.9% 37% -23.4%
15% -43.9% 25% -30.8%
20% -49.4% 15% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.69 · official $9.69 (match) · 177 history records