Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b12…f642
crypto · 680 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses608 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)680 / 680
History coverage38d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day35.4
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 680 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$25
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 +5.5% -4.5% 90% 4% -9.3%
≤30d 528 +0.7% -8.9% 87% 16% -9.8%
≤90d 680 +1.0% -8.6% 89% 14% -9.4%
all 680 +1.0% -8.6% 89% 14% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 14% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 5% -18.1%
15% -25.3% 2% -26.0%
20% -32.7% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.93 · official $0.00 (match) · 1554 history records