Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:43:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b1b…a50b
crypto · 1519 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,122 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses839 / 666
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1505 / 1519
History coverage49d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day42.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1505 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$109
14 days−$315
30 days−$736
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$8 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$13 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$16 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$16 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$10 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$19 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$16 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$25 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$15 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$16 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $8 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $8 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $18 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 175 -1.3% -10.7% 59% 58% -12.9%
≤30d 900 -4.9% -14.0% 57% 56% -14.0%
≤90d 1505 -5.2% -14.3% 56% 55% -13.3%
all 1505 -5.2% -14.3% 56% 55% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 55% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 51% -21.6%
15% -30.0% 45% -29.2%
20% -36.8% 34% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2746 history records