Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T06:31:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3B 0x3b2e…63e6 crypto 64 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$45 (+1%) realized +$45 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%62W / 2L
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$74per market
Trades / day49.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$73
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 0% -8.1%
≤30d 64 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 0% -8.1%
≤90d 64 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 0% -8.1%
all 64 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 0% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -16.9%
15% -26.1% 0% -24.9%
20% -33.4% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×2.29 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×70.85 per $1 lost it wins $70.85
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses62 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day49.5
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 64 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 19 $34 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 19 $96 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $97 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $28 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 19 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $68 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $86 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $98 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 130 history records