Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:33:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b32…1429
crypto · 167 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,350 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,136 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,136
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses97 / 70
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage56d
Avg bet$223
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,436
7 days−$5,010
14 days−$5,010
30 days−$5,038
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $528 $0 −$528 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $211 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$49 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $122 −$20 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $312 −$179 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $259 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$23 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $304 +$52 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $293 −$16 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$65 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $203 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$65 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $903 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$42 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $705 +$43 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$88 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$89 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $510 +$42 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $242 +$39 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $713 +$24 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$40 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $575 −$575 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $618 +$23 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$58 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5,136
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $152 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $120 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -2.1% -11.4% 58% 38% -21.2%
≤30d 152 -4.0% -13.1% 57% 38% -21.2%
≤90d 167 -3.0% -12.3% 58% 40% -21.3%
all 167 -3.0% -12.3% 58% 40% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 40% -21.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 23% -28.9%
15% -28.3% 17% -35.7%
20% -35.3% 12% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1776 history records