Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b3a…7e34
crypto · 514 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,063 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,051 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$3,051
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses275 / 690
Open positions1
Markets (closed)965 / 514
History coverage2d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day1484.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 965 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,035
7 days−$3,051
14 days−$3,051
30 days−$3,051
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 71¢ 66¢ $53 $49 −$4 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 51¢ 34¢ $38 $26 −$12 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-46.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 965 -41.3% -46.9% 28% 22% -20.7%
≤30d 965 -41.3% -46.9% 28% 22% -20.7%
≤90d 965 -41.3% -46.9% 28% 22% -20.7%
all 965 -41.3% -46.9% 28% 22% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1484.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.9% 22% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -52.0% 18% -28.3%
15% -56.6% 14% -35.2%
20% -60.9% 12% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.99 · official $75.00 (match) · 3500 history records