trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 26 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 28 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 25 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 23 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 24 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 28 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 29 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | Jul 13 | $0 | $0 | -40% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Manchester United wins the Premier League? | Jun 10 | $889 | $0 | +0% |
| Southampton wins the Premier League? | May 15 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Jan 06 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -12% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Dec 04 | $80 | $0 | -0% |