Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:56:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b5a…b293
crypto · 507 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$408,895 -629%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,207 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15,207
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses295 / 260
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)555 / 507
History coverage23d
Avg bet$128
Trades / day134.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 555 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,626
7 days−$10,198
14 days−$10,944
30 days−$15,207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $497 $0 −$497 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $497 −$1,473 -296%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $600 −$1,299 -216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$294 -566%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $225 −$225 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -554%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $375 −$375 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $318 −$1,299 -408%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$8 -711%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -551%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$21 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET Jun 14 $541 −$541 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$5 -260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +677%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$7 -366%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$169 -235960%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$103 -1288%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $216 −$216 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$19 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$5 -451%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $69 −$393 -566%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $154 −$75 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6,776
other 0% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $21 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $116 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $100 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 -15.9% -23.9% 50% 41% -26.8%
≤30d 555 -11.5% -19.9% 53% 45% -24.3%
≤90d 555 -11.5% -19.9% 53% 45% -24.3%
all 555 -11.5% -19.9% 53% 45% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover134.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 45% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 35% -31.6%
15% -34.6% 23% -38.2%
20% -41.0% 15% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.19 (match) · 3500 history records