Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b6d…f584
crypto · 868 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$183 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses499 / 409
Open positions0
Markets (closed)908 / 868
History coverage17d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day152.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 908 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$136
14 days−$146
30 days−$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+376%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$16 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 440 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 4% -11.3%
≤30d 908 -2.3% -11.6% 55% 5% -10.7%
≤90d 908 -2.3% -11.6% 55% 5% -10.7%
all 908 -2.3% -11.6% 55% 5% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 5% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 2% -19.3%
15% -27.8% 1% -27.1%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.65 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records