Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:20:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b85…7a97
crypto · 1117 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$161 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$161
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses683 / 448
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1131 / 1117
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day517.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$161
14 days−$161
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1131 -0.4% -9.9% 60% 43% -11.4%
≤30d 1131 -0.4% -9.9% 60% 43% -11.4%
≤90d 1131 -0.4% -9.9% 60% 43% -11.4%
all 1131 -0.4% -9.9% 60% 43% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover517.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 43% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 31% -19.9%
15% -26.4% 21% -27.6%
20% -33.6% 14% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.97 · official $4.92 (match) · 3500 history records