trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 50% | 38% | +11.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 50% | 38% | +11.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 50% | 38% | +11.2% |
| all | 14 | -32.0% | -38.5% | 36% | 29% | -19.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.5% | 29% | -19.5% |
| 10% | -44.4% | 21% | -27.2% |
| 15% | -49.7% | 14% | -34.3% |
| 20% | -54.7% | 7% | -40.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 84¢ | 84¢ | $509 | $512 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $436 | +$97 | +22% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $103 | −$74 | -71% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $237 | +$308 | +130% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $166 | −$71 | -43% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$2 | -21% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $158 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $108 | +$51 | +48% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $61 | −$50 | -82% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 01 | $25 | −$21 | -83% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $153 | −$128 | -84% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Dec 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 20 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 19 | $749 | −$599 | -80% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $563 | +$169 | +30% |