Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:49:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bbd…7ca9
crypto · 903 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,286 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$917 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$917
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses408 / 494
Open positions1
Markets (closed)902 / 903
History coverage17d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day101.2
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 902 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days+$1,045
14 days+$927
30 days+$917
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 33¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$16 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$22 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$130 +288%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$33 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$106 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$59 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$63 +299%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$15 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$65 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$70 +571%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$24 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$17 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$917
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $82 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 669 -3.6% -12.8% 45% 44% -2.4%
≤30d 902 -5.2% -14.2% 45% 37% -5.0%
≤90d 902 -5.2% -14.2% 45% 37% -5.0%
all 902 -5.2% -14.2% 45% 37% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 37% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 32% -14.1%
15% -29.9% 31% -22.4%
20% -36.8% 29% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $1.50 (match) · 2132 history records