trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -21.8% | -29.3% | 18% | 18% | -28.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -30.1% | -36.8% | 20% | 20% | -28.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -30.1% | -36.8% | 20% | 20% | -28.9% |
| all | 22 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 18% | 18% | -34.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.5% | 18% | -34.1% |
| 10% | -42.6% | 14% | -40.4% |
| 15% | -48.1% | 14% | -46.2% |
| 20% | -53.2% | 14% | -51.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$3 | -5% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$14 | -67% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$43 | -86% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | May 27 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | May 25 | $51 | −$14 | -28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | May 25 | $26 | +$4 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 20, 1AM ET | Aug 20 | $156 | −$82 | -53% |
| Solana above $180 on August 20? | Aug 20 | $177 | −$21 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | Aug 18 | $44 | −$6 | -13% |
| Will Orlando City beat CF Montréal? | Jul 13 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on July 11? | Jul 10 | $15 | −$1 | -6% |
| FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) | Jul 09 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| Will JD Vance say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on M | May 28 | $11 | −$9 | -79% |