Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bcc…8629
crypto · 627 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses478 / 148
Open positions1
Markets (closed)626 / 627
History coverage72d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days−$38
14 days−$39
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+79%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +64%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +37%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$15
other 21% −$28
weather 1% −$2
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 600 -0.0% -9.6% 78% 58% -10.6%
≤30d 609 -0.1% -9.6% 78% 58% -10.6%
≤90d 626 -0.6% -10.1% 76% 57% -10.9%
all 626 -0.6% -10.1% 76% 57% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 57% -10.9%
10% -18.7% 30% -19.5%
15% -26.5% 17% -27.2%
20% -33.7% 10% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.88 · official $25.81 (match) · 1330 history records