Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:16:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3be0…9b50
crypto · 994 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$197 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$203 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$203
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses349 / 637
Open positions4
Markets (closed)986 / 994
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day714.0
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 986 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$334
7 days+$203
14 days+$203
30 days+$203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 36¢ 42¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 31¢ 32¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$20 +730%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +59%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$14 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -68%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +149%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +58%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -38%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$11 +376%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +156%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$17 +627%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$252
other 19% −$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $0 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 37m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 39m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 43m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 49m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 986 -4.3% -13.4% 35% 31% -6.4%
≤30d 986 -4.3% -13.4% 35% 31% -6.4%
≤90d 986 -4.3% -13.4% 35% 31% -6.4%
all 986 -4.3% -13.4% 35% 31% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover714.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 31% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 27% -15.4%
15% -29.2% 25% -23.6%
20% -36.2% 23% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.48 · official $13.65 (match) · 3500 history records