Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bf5…2307
sports · 156 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$7,116 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses114 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$613
Open positions0
Markets (closed)156 / 156
History coverage10d
Avg bet$418
Trades / day144.4
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,785
7 days+$5,132
14 days+$6,148
30 days+$6,148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Under 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? No 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: Denmark 3 - 0 Ukraine? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Under 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Under 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $299 −$12 -4%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $1,564 +$99 +6%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $582 +$143 +24%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $733 +$46 +6%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $800 +$17 +2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $248 +$13 +5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $81 +$109 +134%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $536 +$5 +1%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $225 +$67 +30%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $831 +$42 +5%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1,748 +$55 +3%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $121 +$12 +10%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $950 +$33 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2,823 +$194 +7%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 −$16 -66%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $21 +$8 +36%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $12 +$5 +40%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4,747 +$163 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $140 +$210 +150%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $180 +$194 +108%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4,605 +$240 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $504 +$222 +44%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2,049 −$21 -1%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1,438 +$1 +0%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $153 +$215 +141%
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil? Jun 13 $136 −$43 -32%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $875 −$305 -35%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $822 +$153 +19%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $208 −$105 -50%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $706 +$59 +8%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,818 −$198 -11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $575 +$308 +54%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,238 +$40 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2,493 +$108 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $204 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $363 −$18 -5%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $435 +$26 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $653 −$102 -16%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $353 −$35 -10%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $388 +$67 +17%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1,927 −$12 -1%
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $14 $0 -1%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Nigeria? Jun 10 $37 +$11 +29%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $192 −$13 -7%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $72 −$2 -2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $319 −$7 -2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $215 +$18 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% +$1,830
sports 48% +$4,146
world 1% −$28
crypto 0% +$201
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,225 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 99¢ $249 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 98¢ $80 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 98¢ $250 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 98¢ $250 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 93¢ $109 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 94¢ $250 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 6¢ $34 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 10¢ $56 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 21¢ $12 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 16¢ $9 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 18¢ $321 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 14¢ $250 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 22¢ $41 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 22¢ $15 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $49 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 19¢ $46 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 19¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 19¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 23¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 20¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 24¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 16¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 99¢ $299 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 99¢ $413 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 99¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? SELL No 99¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 97¢ $124 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 97¢ $190 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 97¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 +21.7% +10.1% 62% 30% -1.0%
≤30d 156 +21.3% +9.8% 73% 40% -0.3%
≤90d 156 +21.3% +9.8% 73% 40% -0.3%
all 156 +21.3% +9.8% 73% 40% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.8% 40% -0.3%
10% ← realistic here -0.8% 27% -9.8%
15% -10.3% 18% -18.5%
20% -19.1% 12% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1518 history records