trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -25.4% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -32.6% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -39.2% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 26 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 24 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 19 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 23 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 26 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship? | Sep 26 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 13 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 14 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 07 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Brentford wins the Premier League? | Dec 22 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Newcastle United wins the Premier League? | Dec 13 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 30 | $410 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 30 | $85 | $0 | -0% |