Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bf9…5ae7
other · 280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$636
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses255 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions24
Markets (closed)256 / 280
History coverage2d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day134.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 24 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 98¢ 100¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marie Mettraux Ksenia Zaytseva 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Set 1 Winner: Milovanova vs Schuman Milovanova 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Mcdonald vs. Kopp: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Yoruk vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
First Blood in Game 2? T1 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 99¢ 90¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-9%)
Milovanova vs. Schuman: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Will Suni Lee attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will George Strait attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will Steve Carell attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Selena Gomez attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Game Handicap: Odo (-1.5) vs Harimoto (+1.5) Harimoto 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Game Handicap: Harimoto (-1.5) vs Odo (+1.5) Harimoto 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Kawhi Leonard attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Harimoto vs. Odo: Total Games O/U 3.5 Over 100¢ 90¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-10%)
Harimoto vs. Odo: Total Games O/U 4.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Yes 99¢ 90¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-9%)
WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Satsuki Odo Harimoto 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Kenan Yıldız: 5+ shots Yes 99¢ 90¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5) Alliance 98¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Garrett Wilson attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Emily Ratajkowski attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
İsmail Yüksek: 3+ shots Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Jordy Bos: 2+ shots Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will Türkiye go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Harry Souttar: 1+ assists Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 1+ shots Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Arda Güler: 4+ shots Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Alexander Blockx vs Francisco Cer Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Cam Burgess: 2+ assists Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 2+ assists Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Salih Özcan: 2+ goals Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Alessandro Circati: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 1+ goals Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Ajdin Hrustic: 2+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 2+ assists Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 2+ goals Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Can Uzun: 3+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 3+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Awer Mabil: 2+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Deniz Gül: 3+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Mathew Leckie: 2+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Arda Güler: 3+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
İrfan Can Kahveci: 3+ goals Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 3+ goals Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Will Lady Gaga attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Will Bad Bunny attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Will David Robinson attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 25 or more p Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Will any player score 40+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Final Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Will any player score 50+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Final Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Will any player score 60+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Final Jun 14 $25 $0 +0%
Will Devin Vassell score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Will Dylan Harper score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Josh Hart score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Mitchell Robinson score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Fi Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Will Stephon Castle score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Final Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$18
sports 46% +$20
world 3% +$3
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marie Mettraux BUY Ksenia Zaytseva 100¢ $50 13m
Milovanova vs. Schuman: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $40 19m
Set 1 Winner: Milovanova vs Schuman BUY Milovanova 100¢ $50 20m
Mcdonald vs. Kopp: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 100¢ $50 23m
Harimoto vs. Odo: Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Under 100¢ $14 24m
Harimoto vs. Odo: Total Games O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $25 24m
Game Handicap: Odo (-1.5) vs Harimoto (+1.5) BUY Harimoto 100¢ $25 25m
Game Handicap: Harimoto (-1.5) vs Odo (+1.5) BUY Harimoto 100¢ $25 25m
WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Satsuki Odo BUY Harimoto 99¢ $10 27m
Yoruk vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $50 29m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $50 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5) BUY Alliance 98¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 98¢ $50 1h
First Blood in Game 2? BUY T1 100¢ $50 1h
İsmail Yüksek: 3+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $25 1h
Jordy Bos: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $25 1h
Harry Souttar: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $25 1h
Arda Güler: 4+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $1 1h
Will George Strait attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $25 1h
Will Emily Ratajkowski attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Steve Carell attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Garrett Wilson attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Suni Lee attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $25 1h
Will Selena Gomez attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Kawhi Leonard attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 2h
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)+5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 2% -9.4%
≤30d 256 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 2% -9.4%
≤90d 256 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 2% -9.4%
all 256 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 2% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover134.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.1% 2% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -4.9% 1% -18.1%
15% -14.1% 1% -26.0%
20% -22.5% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $635.71 · official $635.64 (match) · 540 history records