Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c0a…c60d
other · 231 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$76 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 221
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)231 / 231
History coverage122d
Avg bet$204
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$13
14 days−$20
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $65 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $191 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $465 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $110 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $275 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $115 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $262 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $55 $0 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $55 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $479 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $401 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $182 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $321 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $315 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $255 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $751 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $56 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $417 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $56 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $152 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $204 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $259 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $356 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $280 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $426 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $100 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $406 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $490 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $390 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $128 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $58 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $254 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $58 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $676 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $328 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $628 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $582 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $386 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $60 −$1 -1%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $197 −$1 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $206 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 29 $275 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 28 $456 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $438 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $62 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $289 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $189 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 26 $329 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $273 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$40
sports 23% −$17
culture 8% −$7
politics 7% −$5
economics 5% −$2
crypto 4% −$1
world 4% −$2
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $8 43m
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $8 2h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $39 6h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $15 7h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 9h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $54 11h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $54 13h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $54 17h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $54 18h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 20h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 22h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $54 31h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $54 33h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $54 34h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $54 36h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $54 38h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $55 40h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $7 40h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $47 40h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $55 41h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 2d
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 231 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1251 history records