Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:04:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c0c…310b
crypto · 1324 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$786 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$786 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$786
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses662 / 662
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1324 / 1324
History coverage130d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$110
14 days−$223
30 days−$535
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $117 +$19 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $82 +$15 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$70 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$15 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +166%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$773
other 0% −$4
politics 0% −$4
world 0% −$2
weather 0% −$2
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 +6.9% -3.3% 56% 50% -3.0%
≤30d 510 -3.0% -12.2% 49% 43% -16.3%
≤90d 1308 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 42% -13.7%
all 1324 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 42% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 42% -13.7%
10% -22.7% 38% -21.9%
15% -30.2% 35% -29.5%
20% -37.0% 33% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3019 history records