Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:04:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c0f…652e
crypto · 827 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$530 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$522 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$522
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses365 / 457
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)822 / 827
History coverage31d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day87.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 822 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$16
14 days+$24
30 days−$1,343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Yes 90¢ 98¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 83¢ 36¢ $20 $9 −$11 (-57%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 77¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 8? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 23? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 31? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 26? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10? Jun 10 $9 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 10 $10 −$2 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10? Jun 09 $4 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $14 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $26 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $25 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $6 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$446
weather 15% −$62
other 1% −$17
sports 0% −$10
finance 0% +$4
politics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 26m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 83¢ $5 38m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 86¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 88¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 90¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 51¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? SELL Yes 82¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 86¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 83¢ $1 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 88¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 87¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 88¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 88¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $2 13h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -2.1% -11.5% 33% 13% -6.0%
≤30d 659 -20.6% -28.2% 36% 30% -30.9%
≤90d 822 -5.2% -14.3% 44% 38% -15.7%
all 822 -5.2% -14.3% 44% 38% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 38% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 36% -23.8%
15% -30.0% 34% -31.1%
20% -36.8% 32% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.05 · official $51.32 · 3500 history records