Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:17:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c58…776b
crypto · 775 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,368 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,358 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$272
Realized−$6,358
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses442 / 659
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1101 / 775
History coverage1d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day2893.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,358
7 days−$6,358
14 days−$6,358
30 days−$6,358
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $98 $166 +$68 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $21 $42 +$21 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 46¢ 92¢ $9 $18 +$9 (+99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $6 $14 +$7 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $8 $13 +$4 (+54%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 64¢ 90¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 59¢ 8¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-86%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 58¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+317%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$21 +99%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +75%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +567%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,277
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $15 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $9 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1101 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 37% -26.2%
≤30d 1101 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 37% -26.2%
≤90d 1101 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 37% -26.2%
all 1101 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 37% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2893.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 37% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 35% -33.3%
15% -40.8% 31% -39.7%
20% -46.6% 25% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $271.88 · official $258.77 · 3500 history records