trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 10 | +15.1% | +4.1% | 50% | 30% | +5.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 44% | 33% | -3.5% |
| all | 18 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 44% | 33% | -3.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.3% | 33% | -3.5% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 22% | -12.7% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 17% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 6% | -28.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1,067 | $1,013 | −$53 (-5%) |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $97 | $80 | −$17 (-18%) |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $74 | $79 | +$5 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 07 | $737 | +$107 | +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Jun 06 | $7 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 06 | $41 | −$4 | -11% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 04 | $102 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 04 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 02 | $40 | −$11 | -28% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 29 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | May 26 | $12 | −$3 | -23% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? | May 25 | $135 | +$53 | +39% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $28 | +$45 | +162% |
| Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $107 | +$49 | +46% |
| Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $87 | +$31 | +35% |
| Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $90 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 16 | $146 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $71 | −$25 | -35% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 15 | $186 | −$114 | -62% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $76 | +$12 | +16% |