trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 29¢ | 32¢ | $29 | $32 | +$4 (+12%) |
| Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $32 | $31 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | No | 88¢ | 95¢ | $18 | $19 | +$2 (+9%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-10%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | No | 85¢ | 87¢ | $8 | $9 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? | Yes | 51¢ | 44¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? | Yes | 29¢ | 31¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | Yes | 92¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-89%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Jun 13 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$9 | +41% |
| Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 12 | $33 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $6 | +$4 | +58% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? | Jun 11 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? | Jun 11 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? | Jun 08 | $384 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $251 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? | Jun 03 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June? | Jun 02 | $4 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | May 31 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 50% | 20% | -7.3% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 62% | 19% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 62% | 19% | -8.9% |
| all | 16 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 62% | 19% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 19% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 12% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 12% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 6% | -32.9% |