trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 23% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $230 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 30 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 21 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 13 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 05 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 13 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Apr 11 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 07 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 22 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 14 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 11 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 08 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $116 | $0 | -0% |