Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3ca3…ec64
crypto · 965 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$563 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$563 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$563
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses648 / 317
Open positions0
Markets (closed)965 / 965
History coverage35d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day75.8
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 965 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$24
14 days−$71
30 days+$486
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$21 +167%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$6 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$7 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$15 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$5 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$563
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $13 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +9.1% -1.3% 62% 39% -7.6%
≤30d 797 +8.3% -2.0% 67% 38% -4.5%
≤90d 965 +5.7% -4.4% 67% 36% -4.8%
all 965 +5.7% -4.4% 67% 36% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 36% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 26% -13.9%
15% -21.9% 20% -22.2%
20% -29.5% 15% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records