Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:44:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3C 0x3cb5…0b36 crypto 58 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$92 (-3%) realized −$92 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate91%53W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day58.0pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$38
other 12% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -2.4% -11.7% 91% 19% -12.7%
≤30d 58 -2.4% -11.7% 91% 19% -12.7%
≤90d 58 -2.4% -11.7% 91% 19% -12.7%
all 58 -2.4% -11.7% 91% 19% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 19% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 5% -21.0%
15% -27.9% 2% -28.7%
20% -34.9% 2% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$59 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses53 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 58 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$59 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$16 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $61 −$59 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$8 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $61 −$59 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$7 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$5 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$3 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $61 +$49 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$18 +30%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$5 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $63 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $80 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $79 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $60 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $61 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $60 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 111 history records