Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:57:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3C 0x3cb5…d73f crypto 384 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (250 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,262 (+23%) realized +$2,262 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate35%133W / 251L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day249.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$500
7 days+$2,121
14 days+$2,150
30 days+$2,150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (250 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 378 -10.6% -19.1% 34% 32% +11.2%
≤30d 384 -10.8% -19.3% 35% 32% +11.4%
≤90d 384 -10.8% -19.3% 35% 32% +11.4%
all 384 -10.8% -19.3% 35% 32% +11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover249.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 32% +11.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 30% +0.8%
15% -34.1% 26% -9.0%
20% -40.5% 21% -17.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +23% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt +23% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$44 vs −$15 · ×2.98 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.58 per $1 lost it wins $1.58
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,262
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses133 / 251
Open positions0
Markets (closed)384 / 384
History coverage7d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day249.9
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 384 Trades
no open positions (207 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $123 +$73 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$20 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $42 +$82 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $109 +$115 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $78 −$75 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $85 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $164 −$164 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $42 +$165 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $112 +$43 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $54 +$169 +314%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$52 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $58 +$80 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 22 $36 +$15 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 22 $31 +$18 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 22 $30 +$15 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$15 +141%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 22 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 22 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $77 −$77 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 22 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 22 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $32 −$32 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$10 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 22 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $76 −$76 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $42 +$93 +222%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $31 +$69 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 22 $121 +$401 +332%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1949 history records