Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:37:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3cb7…0aca
crypto · 48 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses27 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage25d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 14 $3,106 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 $0 -2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 11 $88 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 05 $12 $0 -0%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 02 $12 $0 -2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $25 $0 -2%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 02 $5 −$1 -31%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $73 $0 -0%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $48 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 30 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 25 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 24 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 24 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 24 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 24 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 23 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 23 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 20 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 20 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 20 $3 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 89% −$4
other 3% +$1
sports 3% −$1
tech 3% $0
crypto 2% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 96¢ $11 20h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 29h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -15.8% -23.8% 33% 22% -9.7%
≤30d 48 -6.1% -15.1% 56% 35% -9.8%
≤90d 48 -6.1% -15.1% 56% 35% -9.8%
all 48 -6.1% -15.1% 56% 35% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 35% -9.8%
10% -23.2% 23% -18.4%
15% -30.6% 19% -26.3%
20% -37.4% 10% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 278 history records