trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +56.0% | +41.2% | 100% | 100% | +41.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +68.5% | +52.5% | 100% | 100% | +50.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +12.4% | +1.7% | 67% | 67% | +32.5% |
| all | 81 | +16.0% | +5.0% | 43% | 43% | +8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.0% | 43% | +8.6% |
| 10% | -5.1% | 43% | -1.8% |
| 15% | -14.2% | 41% | -11.3% |
| 20% | -22.6% | 36% | -20.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 83¢ | 84¢ | $304 | $306 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $198 | +$111 | +56% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $149 | +$120 | +81% |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | Apr 27 | $50 | −$48 | -97% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Feb 20 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Feb 14 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Feb 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $1,493 | +$681 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | Feb 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 28 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $1,715 | +$1,175 | +68% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $732 | −$732 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Indiana | Jan 20 | $680 | +$63 | +9% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 19 | $2,287 | +$1,594 | +70% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 18 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | Jan 18 | $999 | −$999 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 17 | $1,439 | −$1,439 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Jan 15 | $67 | −$67 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Jan 15 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 14 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 13 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 12 | $790 | +$1,140 | +144% |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | Jan 11 | $1,001 | −$1,001 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $600 | +$2,444 | +407% |
| Rams vs. Panthers | Jan 10 | $342 | −$342 | -100% |
| Oregon vs. Indiana | Jan 10 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Jan 09 | $150 | +$234 | +156% |
| Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Jan 06 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $1,499 | +$3,064 | +204% |
| Lions vs. Bears | Jan 05 | $500 | +$851 | +170% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Jan 04 | $2,142 | −$2,142 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jan 04 | $972 | −$379 | -39% |
| Panthers vs. Buccaneers | Jan 03 | $407 | −$407 | -100% |
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Jan 03 | $189 | −$189 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Falcons | Dec 30 | $135 | +$405 | +300% |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Dec 29 | $683 | +$419 | +61% |
| Eagles vs. Bills | Dec 29 | $1,500 | +$1,924 | +128% |
| Steelers vs. Browns | Dec 28 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Packers | Dec 28 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chargers | Dec 27 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | Dec 26 | $500 | +$185 | +37% |
| Lions vs. Vikings | Dec 26 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Commanders | Dec 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Dec 23 | $360 | −$360 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Ravens | Dec 22 | $600 | +$1,307 | +218% |
| Steelers vs. Lions | Dec 22 | $214 | +$718 | +335% |
| Chargers vs. Cowboys | Dec 22 | $200 | +$99 | +49% |
| Bills vs. Browns | Dec 22 | $300 | +$105 | +35% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Dec 21 | $482 | +$497 | +103% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Dec 21 | $1,500 | +$708 | +47% |