Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:00:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3cd2…29ae
crypto · 1462 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$45
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1255 / 196
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)1451 / 1462
History coverage27d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day91.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 11 History 1451 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$51
14 days−$48
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? No 97¢ 97¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Over 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 88¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? No 98¢ 87¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? No 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 17¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-90%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? No 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$33
weather 3% $0
other 2% −$1
sports 1% −$2
world 0% −$6
politics 0% −$4
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 21m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 36m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $2 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $5 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 -1.6% -11.0% 93% 3% -10.9%
≤30d 1451 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 5% -9.9%
≤90d 1451 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 5% -9.9%
all 1451 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 5% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 5% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 1% -18.5%
15% -26.7% 1% -26.4%
20% -33.9% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.25 · official $60.34 (match) · 3500 history records