Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:31:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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3C 0x3cee…edcd crypto 719 markets active 5d ago coverage 57d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,365 (+1%) realized +$2,365 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%707W / 12L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$631per market
Trades / day53.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 57d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$344
politics 0% −$71
other 0% +$4
sports 0% +$3
world 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 335 -0.8% -10.2% 98% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 719 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 719 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -26.6% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$906) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$197 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses707 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)719 / 719
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$631
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 719 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $247 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,616 +$7 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,336 +$6 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $697 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $709 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $307 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 11? Jun 11 $569 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $889 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $206 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $421 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,130 +$4 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $339 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $747 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $641 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 10? Jun 11 $275 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,350 on June 10? Jun 11 $312 +$1 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 10? Jun 11 $179 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 10? Jun 11 $87 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 10? Jun 11 $556 +$5 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 10? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $126 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $626 +$2 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $212 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $253 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $583 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,438 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,936 +$14 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $140 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,269 +$10 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 9? Jun 10 $160 +$1 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 9? Jun 10 $741 +$7 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 9? Jun 10 $292 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 9? Jun 10 $794 +$7 +1%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 9? Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 9? Jun 09 $83 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $69 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 9? Jun 09 $690 +$5 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,327 +$11 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 8? Jun 09 $101 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 8? Jun 09 $11 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 8? Jun 09 $200 +$1 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 8? Jun 09 $31 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 8? Jun 09 $246 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $193 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $593 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $318 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $236 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,063 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $247 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $168 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1,337 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 5d
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $699 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $45 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $1,292 5d
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $697 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $710 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $709 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $411 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 5d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $422 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $1 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $476 5d
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $55 6d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $569 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $195 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,032 6d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $21 6d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $79 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $63 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 6d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $643 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records