Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3C 0x3cf3…07b6 crypto 48 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$32 (-3%) realized −$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate50%24W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day51.2pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 76% −$8
sports 21% −$42
other 3% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +16.2% +5.2% 50% 33% -15.4%
≤30d 48 +16.2% +5.2% 50% 33% -15.4%
≤90d 48 +16.2% +5.2% 50% 33% -15.4%
all 48 +16.2% +5.2% 50% 33% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.2% 33% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -4.9% 23% -23.5%
15% -14.1% 21% -30.9%
20% -22.5% 21% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 39% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +16% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +38% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$8 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses24 / 24
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$13 +1226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$18 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $46 −$40 -88%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $41 −$24 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$32 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -9%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +249%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $4 +$4 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -43%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +112%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $26 −$1 -4%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $50 +$9 +19%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $22 −$4 -16%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $61 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $55 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $51 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $60 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $58 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $55 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $45 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $40 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $35 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $33 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 117 history records