Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3cf9…dde4
sports · 563 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$112 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$126
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses310 / 252
Est. fees paid−$199
Open positions1
Markets (closed)562 / 563
History coverage91d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 562 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$75
14 days+$628
30 days+$626
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 88¢ $51 $64 +$13 (+26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$7 -15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$48 +81%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $22 +$11 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$26 +81%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $64 +$58 +91%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $112 +$52 +46%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $113 $0 -0%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $94 +$18 +19%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $84 +$41 +48%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $122 −$30 -25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $54 +$30 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $34 +$20 +60%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $19 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $66 −$66 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $75 +$21 +29%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $30 +$13 +44%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $44 +$38 +86%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $180 +$14 +8%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 10 $80 −$80 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $74 +$55 +74%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $43 +$31 +73%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $23 +$20 +86%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $56 +$33 +60%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 +$20 +99%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 09 $12 +$8 +68%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $113 −$33 -30%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $80 +$33 +42%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $65 +$15 +23%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$14 +27%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $84 −$84 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $36 +$30 +82%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $21 +$15 +71%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $13 +$8 +59%
Spread: Colombia (-2.5) Jun 08 $65 −$65 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 Jun 08 $100 −$87 -87%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $55 −$55 -100%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $99 −$99 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 08 $100 +$65 +65%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $101 +$83 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$115
crypto 5% −$415
other 4% +$170
culture 1% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 54¢ $43 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $108 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 62¢ $51 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $60 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $33 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $59 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $32 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $22 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $122 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $64 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $164 12h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 67¢ $112 12h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 81¢ $28 15h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 82¢ $85 15h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 81¢ $113 15h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 87¢ $113 15h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 72¢ $94 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 42¢ $92 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $122 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $123 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $84 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 99¢ $84 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 63¢ $54 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $54 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $34 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $19 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $20 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $57 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $38 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +1.2% -8.5% 60% 59% -8.2%
≤30d 215 +5.3% -4.8% 60% 59% -3.6%
≤90d 560 -3.5% -12.7% 55% 54% -10.2%
all 562 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 54% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 54% -10.1%
10% -20.9% 49% -18.7%
15% -28.5% 42% -26.5%
20% -35.5% 31% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.01 · official $53.88 · 1190 history records