Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d00…52f2
crypto · 65 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7,183 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$22
Realized+$7,183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses40 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
Avg bet$1,325
Trades / day486.0
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,183
7 days+$7,183
14 days+$7,183
30 days+$7,183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1,050 $0 −$1,050 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $580 $0 −$580 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1,009 $0 −$1,009 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $594 $0 −$594 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1,038 $0 −$1,038 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$11 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $224 −$215 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$113 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $435 −$251 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $252 +$87 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,105 −$1,849 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $406 +$31 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $7,647 +$2,181 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $4,268 +$359 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $4,821 +$4,227 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1,652 +$1,902 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $7,468 +$1,618 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1,521 +$64 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $6,687 +$2,212 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $104 +$55 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5,320 +$1,329 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $2,956 +$414 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1,292 +$631 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $4,780 −$401 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$9 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $4,516 +$277 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $4,068 +$376 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $4,076 +$67 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$36 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1,345 −$1,300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $517 +$234 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $515 +$178 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $519 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $622 +$394 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1,096 −$1,038 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $615 −$594 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $525 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $630 +$791 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $623 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $609 +$41 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $349 +$204 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $442 +$437 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $736 −$700 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $504 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $108 −$100 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $313 +$258 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1,101 −$1,050 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $523 +$519 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $530 −$500 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,183
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $107 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $107 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $96 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $517 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $517 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -1.5% -10.9% 62% 47% -1.9%
≤30d 64 -1.5% -10.9% 62% 47% -1.9%
≤90d 64 -1.5% -10.9% 62% 47% -1.9%
all 64 -1.5% -10.9% 62% 47% -1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover486.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 47% -1.9%
10% -19.4% 42% -11.3%
15% ← realistic here -27.2% 31% -19.9%
20% -34.3% 23% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.11 · official $22.11 (match) · 598 history records