Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:52:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d22…cc0f
crypto · 791 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$41 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses351 / 440
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)791 / 791
History coverage38d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 791 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days+$89
14 days+$105
30 days+$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$30 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$17 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$28 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$37 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$19 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$58 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$28 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $46 +$45 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $33 +$27 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 10 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$166
sports 4% +$192
other 2% +$13
weather 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 +2.7% -7.1% 37% 37% -5.6%
≤30d 633 +0.4% -9.2% 43% 42% -9.6%
≤90d 791 -2.5% -11.8% 44% 42% -11.3%
all 791 -2.5% -11.8% 44% 42% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 42% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 41% -19.8%
15% -28.0% 38% -27.5%
20% -35.0% 35% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records