Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:11:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d2b…afc5
sports · 135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$33,412 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39,802 · open −$6,390
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37,054
Realized+$39,802
Unrealized−$6,390
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses82 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$10,229
Open positions7
Markets (closed)131 / 135
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5,992
Trades / day566.8
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35,184
7 days+$39,802
14 days+$39,802
30 days+$39,802
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 50¢ 100¢ $7,397 $14,734 +$7,337 (+99%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 66¢ 100¢ $5,164 $7,831 +$2,667 (+52%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 69¢ 100¢ $2,780 $4,034 +$1,254 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 57¢ 80¢ $2,765 $3,933 +$1,168 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 31¢ 20¢ $5,711 $3,642 −$2,069 (-36%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 58¢ 100¢ $1,494 $2,559 +$1,066 (+71%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 9¢ 6¢ $409 $270 −$140 (-34%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 33¢ 4¢ $358 $43 −$314 (-88%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 32¢ 0¢ $3,958 $6 −$3,952 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 71¢ 0¢ $1,052 $1 −$1,051 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 23¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 46¢ 0¢ $1,557 $0 −$1,557 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 24¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 26¢ 0¢ $796 $0 −$796 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 35¢ 0¢ $414 $0 −$414 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 42¢ 0¢ $2,550 $0 −$2,550 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 32¢ 0¢ $795 $0 −$795 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Lynn Vision 23¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 31¢ 0¢ $353 $0 −$353 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Monte 29¢ 0¢ $949 $0 −$949 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $64 +$198 +307%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $11,033 +$5,338 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,441 +$3,716 +50%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $702 −$642 -92%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,408 +$1,333 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,509 +$3,276 +31%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3,075 +$660 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,165 +$319 +10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21,698 −$1,011 -5%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $787 +$623 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13,564 +$1,717 +13%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9,562 +$1,505 +16%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,530 +$105 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10,666 +$3,250 +30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $23,557 −$2,048 -9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10,076 +$2,108 +21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11,128 +$1,403 +13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,606 −$2,548 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $11,521 +$1,718 +15%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,045 +$456 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,043 +$844 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,504 +$1,686 +31%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,640 +$1,885 +33%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,960 +$2,191 +55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,858 +$596 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,980 −$1,089 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,177 +$21 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,690 −$902 -53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $29,608 −$2,991 -10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $596 −$430 -72%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13,847 +$1,386 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,821 +$1,183 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7,104 +$713 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,789 +$914 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9,123 −$4,381 -48%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,750 +$2,254 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,506 +$82 +6%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,168 +$516 +44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9,757 +$1,849 +19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10,229 −$812 -8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $813 −$796 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,159 +$2,039 +65%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5,524 +$1,959 +36%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $414 −$414 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,125 +$834 +27%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,361 +$661 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$33,271
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $235 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $93 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $90 19m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $285 21m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 23¢ $0 25m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 25¢ $375 26m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 24¢ $2 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 24¢ $16 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 24¢ $0 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 24¢ $69 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $21 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $2 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $16 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $2 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $155 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $290 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $4 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $9 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $120 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $45 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $7 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $16 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $51 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $62 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $1 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $9 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $45 33m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $0 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+35.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +49.2% +35.0% 63% 50% -5.0%
≤30d 131 +49.2% +35.0% 63% 50% -5.0%
≤90d 131 +49.2% +35.0% 63% 50% -5.0%
all 131 +49.2% +35.0% 63% 50% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover566.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.0% 50% -5.0%
10% +22.1% 39% -14.1%
15% ← realistic here +10.3% 23% -22.4%
20% -0.5% 16% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37,053.88 · official $37,053.88 (match) · 3500 history records