trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 60% | 60% | -34.4% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 60% | 60% | -34.4% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 60% | 60% | -34.4% |
| all | 30 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 60% | 60% | -34.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 60% | -34.4% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 60% | -40.7% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 30% | -46.4% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -51.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $54 | $69 | +$15 (+28%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18? | No | 72¢ | 74¢ | $59 | $61 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $59 | $58 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 18? | No | 75¢ | 66¢ | $65 | $57 | −$8 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $35 | +$11 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $274 | −$221 | -81% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $57 | +$18 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $14 | +$3 | +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +30% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $26 | +$7 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $24 | +$8 | +35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 17? | Jun 16 | $113 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $45 | +$16 | +36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $24 | −$24 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 15? | Jun 16 | $17 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $17 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $33 | +$15 | +44% |
| Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 14 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 14 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 15? | Jun 14 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$5 | +41% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$4 | +28% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$5 | +37% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $12 | +$5 | +37% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $13 | +$7 | +50% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +37% |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes | Jun 12 | $5 | −$1 | -15% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +50% |
| Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |