trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2,077 | $2,080 | +$3 (+0%) |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 8? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 22? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2,071 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? | Jun 12 | $2,066 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $2,062 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 10? | Jun 11 | $2,058 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $2,056 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 8? | Jun 09 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6? | Jun 06 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31? | May 31 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28? | May 29 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25? | May 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 22? | May 22 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17? | May 18 | $2,097 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17? | May 17 | $2,091 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 16? | May 17 | $2,087 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 16? | May 16 | $2,082 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 15? | May 16 | $2,080 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15? | May 15 | $2,076 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14? | May 15 | $2,071 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14? | May 14 | $2,067 | +$4 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -37.4% | -43.3% | 62% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -38.0% | -43.9% | 62% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -38.0% | -43.9% | 62% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 21 | -38.0% | -43.9% | 62% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.9% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -49.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -54.2% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -58.6% | 0% | -33.3% |