Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d65…6a04
crypto · 1366 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,211 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,145 · open −$66
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$2,145
Unrealized−$66
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses568 / 942
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1510 / 1366
History coverage29d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day104.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,238
7 days−$848
14 days−$1,022
30 days−$2,145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 44¢ 44¢ $44 $44 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 33¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 64¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$1,350
sports 24% +$232
world 1% −$30
politics 0% −$4
other 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $44 15m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $110 19m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 39¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 39¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 39¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 39¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 39¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $37 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $3 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $18 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $2 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $6 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $8 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $27 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $7 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $0 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $102 18h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 12¢ $2 18h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 18¢ $1 18h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 17¢ $4 18h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 10¢ $1 18h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 10¢ $2 18h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL Galions 100¢ $100 19h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY Misa Esports 60¢ $61 21h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 64¢ $64 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $100 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -53.5% -58.0% 20% 19% -22.6%
≤30d 1510 -12.9% -21.2% 38% 36% -18.2%
≤90d 1510 -12.9% -21.2% 38% 36% -18.2%
all 1510 -12.9% -21.2% 38% 36% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 36% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 34% -26.0%
15% -35.6% 31% -33.2%
20% -41.9% 28% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.60 · official $43.60 (match) · 3500 history records