trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 75% | 50% | +1.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 38% | -7.0% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -31.8% | -38.3% | 29% | 24% | -53.4% |
| all | 23 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 30% | 26% | +47.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.9% | 26% | +47.3% |
| 10% | -42.1% | 26% | +33.2% |
| 15% | -47.7% | 22% | +20.3% |
| 20% | -52.8% | 13% | +8.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $19 | +$11 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $12 | +$5 | +46% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal | Jun 11 | $23 | +$1 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | May 21 | $1 | +$3 | +276% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | May 21 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | May 20 | $3 | −$2 | -50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | May 17 | $55 | −$24 | -44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | May 17 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | May 17 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | May 16 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | May 16 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | May 16 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | May 16 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans | May 16 | $27 | −$20 | -73% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | May 15 | $22 | −$7 | -30% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings | May 06 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | May 06 | $6 | +$2 | +24% |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Apr 14 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals | Apr 13 | $70 | −$58 | -83% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Feb 21 | $1,063 | +$1,029 | +97% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Feb 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |