trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 51¢ | 0¢ | $711,355 | $0 | −$711,355 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $1,282,665 | +$273,160 | +21% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 03 | $721,904 | −$711,355 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $258,968 | +$74,433 | +29% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk | Jun 02 | $160,680 | −$160,480 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 02 | $1,124,279 | +$803,221 | +71% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry | Jun 01 | $173,673 | +$95,546 | +55% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann | Jun 01 | $896,729 | +$100,211 | +11% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon | May 31 | $58,413 | −$58,413 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +21.3% | +9.7% | 100% | 100% | +9.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 62% | 62% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 62% | 62% | -1.5% |
| all | 8 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 62% | 62% | -1.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -22.2% | 62% | -1.5% |
| 10% | -29.7% | 38% | -10.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -36.5% | 25% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 25% | -27.4% |