Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d6f…9d36
crypto · 1207 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$564 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$603 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$111
Realized+$603
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses713 / 491
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1204 / 1207
History coverage144d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$886
7 days+$886
14 days+$886
30 days+$991
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 66¢ $50 $61 +$11 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 72¢ 72¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $125 +$51 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$9 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$65 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$63 -61%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$43 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $207 +$164 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $216 +$134 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$110 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$24 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$19 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$26 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$24 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$39 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$114 +217%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$56 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$56 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$31 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$23 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$37 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$29 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$81 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$25 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$169 +320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$70 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $125 +$16 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $151 +$119 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$26 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$564
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $51 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $67 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $94 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $109 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $52 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $40 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $371 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $207 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $113 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $31 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $31 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $31 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +12.2% +1.5% 66% 64% +7.2%
≤30d 538 -2.0% -11.3% 58% 57% -3.6%
≤90d 589 -1.7% -11.1% 59% 57% -3.6%
all 1204 -4.1% -13.2% 59% 55% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 55% -7.4%
10% -21.5% 48% -16.3%
15% -29.1% 39% -24.4%
20% -36.0% 30% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $111.14 · official $94.10 · 3134 history records