trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 50% | 50% | +31.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 50% | 50% | +31.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 50% | 50% | +31.1% |
| all | 2 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 50% | 50% | +31.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 50% | +31.1% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 50% | +18.5% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 50% | +7.1% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 50% | -3.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | $101 | $105 | +$4 (+4%) |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $100 | $100 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $1 | −$99 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $289 | +$275 | +95% |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |