Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:32:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3db5…3dd2
crypto · 1382 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$296 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$296 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$296
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses887 / 495
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1382 / 1382
History coverage32d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day79.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days−$0
14 days−$89
30 days−$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$296
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 235 +0.6% -9.0% 70% 54% -9.5%
≤30d 1287 -2.5% -11.8% 63% 35% -13.7%
≤90d 1382 -2.2% -11.5% 64% 34% -13.4%
all 1382 -2.2% -11.5% 64% 34% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 34% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 22% -21.7%
15% -27.7% 19% -29.2%
20% -34.8% 17% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records