Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:21:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dc0…5dea
crypto · 73 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses39 / 33
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 73
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day126.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 61¢ 8¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$7 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -11.3% -19.8% 54% 44% -9.9%
≤30d 72 -11.3% -19.8% 54% 44% -9.9%
≤90d 72 -11.3% -19.8% 54% 44% -9.9%
all 72 -11.3% -19.8% 54% 44% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 44% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 39% -18.6%
15% -34.5% 35% -26.4%
20% -40.9% 25% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.28 · official $2.34 · 167 history records