trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 31% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 36% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 27 | -8.2% | -17.0% | 44% | 4% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.0% | 4% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -24.9% | 0% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -32.2% | 0% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -38.8% | 0% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 71¢ | 72¢ | $38 | $38 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 44¢ | 5¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 02 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 29 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $41 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $44 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $38 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days? | May 06 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on April 5? | Apr 07 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 04 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 04 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romani | Apr 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | Apr 03 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -45% |