Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:22:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dcd…2a7f
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses50 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)68 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day217.0
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 19¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$5 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$7 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$22 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% +$20
sports 8% −$3
finance 8% $0
weather 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +0.1% -9.4% 74% 56% -8.6%
≤30d 68 +0.1% -9.4% 74% 56% -8.6%
≤90d 68 +0.1% -9.4% 74% 56% -8.6%
all 68 +0.1% -9.4% 74% 56% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover217.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 56% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 21% -17.3%
15% -26.0% 9% -25.3%
20% -33.3% 4% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.96 · official $2.22 (match) · 266 history records