Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dcf…435d
crypto · 883 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$177 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$316 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$316
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses633 / 238
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions12
Markets (closed)871 / 883
History coverage92d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 12 History 871 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$16
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $9 +$2 +26%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +112%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 23 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 23 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 23 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 23 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 23 $3 +$2 +97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 23 $3 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 22 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 22 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 22 $2 +$3 +119%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 22 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$118
world 22% −$77
finance 18% −$88
other 3% −$11
politics 1% +$4
sports 1% −$27
culture 0% −$1
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Spirit 58¢ $1 7d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL BetBoom Team 42¢ $4 7d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $3 7d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Spirit 67¢ $2 7d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Spirit 68¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL G2 99¢ $3 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 69¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 134 -4.3% -13.4% 33% 30% -14.1%
≤90d 819 -3.1% -12.3% 71% 15% -13.3%
all 871 -2.9% -12.2% 73% 14% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 14% -13.1%
10% -20.6% 8% -21.4%
15% -28.3% 6% -29.0%
20% -35.3% 5% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.65 · official $11.66 (match) · 2083 history records